Tonight’s the Night

November 21, 2011

Tonight’s the night…..

 

Hurricane Swartz makes his long range winter forecast…

 

 

 

You know the guy with the bowtie?

 

 

How cold is it going to be?

 

How much snow will we get?

 

 

Remember last year?

 

We had that big snowstorm right around Thanksgiving…

 

 

What’s going on with this weather?

 

Here it is mid-November…..

 

Janet and I just got our winter clothes out

 

 

 

Dealing in the energy market

 

The one constant we discuss is temperature

 

 

Back in September

 

We were getting reports saying

 

 

 

The long range forecast calls for an exceptionally cold November

 

 

When will that start……

 

 

November 30th

 

 

 

Those statements kept pushing natural gas prices up

 

 

We held firm….

 

 

We waited….

 

 

We’ll see….

 

 

Here it is mid-November and temperatures are still in the 60s

 

Natural gas prices keep dropping

 

 

A whole market opportunity has opened up

 

 

With prices so low

 

We start to measure risk

 

 

How much lower can prices go?

 

 

 

Don’t you love this kind of stuff?

 

 

 

 

Can natural gas prices go lower?

 

 

Yes!!!

 

But there is more upside risk

 

 

 

With prices being sooooo low,

 

 

 

One cold snap and …

 

 

The market price can jump up fast…

 

 

 

It’s called the whiplash effect

 

 

 

Prices always go up faster…

 

 

And then they take their good old time coming back down

 

 

 

Now here’s my shameless HBS plug

 

 

For those businesses still buying natural gas from their local provider

 

This is a great time to lock into a very competitive fixed price contract

 

 

 

There we go….

 

I said it

 

 

Now the disclaimer…

 

 

Some circumstances may not allow you to qualify

 

            Your monthly usage may be too small

 

                                          or

           

            We find stop service notices on your bill

 

 

 

 

 

Pick it up Hutch

 

 

Let’s get back on topic

 

 

Ohhhhh…..OK

 

 

 

So……..

 

Hurricane….

 

 

What will you say?

 

 

How cold will it be?

 

 

How much snow will we get?

 

 

 

I just bought a new snow shovel last year

 

 

I’ll be ready

 

 

 

PS: This was written on Wednesday. If you want to know what Hurricane said, you will have to go online and Google it.

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By Andrew Maykuth

Inquirer Staff Writer

Pennsylvania electricity customers are skeptical they can save much by
shopping for power.

Although 88 percent of customers say they are aware they can switch to
alternative suppliers, only 45 percent have shopped, according to a statewide
survey conducted by Terry Madonna Opinion Research.

Twenty-three percent of residential customers statewide have switched,
according to the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission. About 1.4 million
customers have switched.

Madonna and several electricity suppliers told the PUC on Thursday that
nearly a year after Pennsylvania’s retail utility deregulation went into full
effect, the public remains wary of shopping.

“There are a fair number of people who did not look into changing an electric
supplier because they didn’t believe there would be long-term savings in it,”
said Madonna, director of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs at Franklin
and Marshall College in Lancaster.

The poll results were presented Thursday at a PUC hearing on competition.

The surveys found that price was the main concern driving customers to
switch, but many said the perceived savings were insufficient to make them
switch.

Suppliers said some residential customers have recorded savings up to $300 a
year.

Madonna, who conducted his telephone survey of 801 customers in September on
behalf of Constellation Energy, said 78 percent said they would consider
switching if they could save 10 percent on their generation charge.

Many customers who declined to shop said they were happy with their current
supplier regardless of the cost.

Madonna’s findings were echoed by an Internet survey of 450 customers
conducted by AlphaBuyer, a Paoli group- buyer that markets online.

Forty percent of the customers said the savings were not worth it, said Kevin
McCloskey, AlphaBuyer’s chief operating officer. About 24 percent said shopping
was too confusing or the choices overwhelming. About 15 percent said switching
was too risky or that it was a “scam.”

Under Pennsylvania’s Electric Choice law, customers can choose a company that
markets the power. Billing is still conducted by the incumbent utility company,
which collects a fee for distributing the power.

Customers who don’t switch are still supplied by the utility at a default
rate.

Only 18 percent of customers had visited the PUC’s website for choosing a
supplier. PUC members said more customer education was needed.

“It’s perplexing to us with all the tools being made available to customers
we only see 20 percent of the residential customers shopping,” said Robert F.
Powelson, PUC chairman.

Our Perspective:

HBS has been dealing in the deregulated energy market for over 10 years. I have always been suspect of the proposed residential savings in this market.  Most of the time you are offered a floating rate that may offer minimal savings.

The opposite is true in the commercial market. There are providers offering fixed price alternatives that offer a great opportunity for savings. HBS has found great success in the PA commercial deregulated market. We represent all the major providers selling electric in the PA market.

There is no upfront cost. Deregulated savings in the energy market has been a welcomed windfall for any business in both the New Jersey and Peennsylvania market who willing to look at the opportunity.

 

Read more: http://www.philly.com/philly/business/20111111_Most_in_Pa__avoid_shopping_for_electricity_supplier.html#ixzz1ddcYbDS5

By Andrew Maykuth

INQUIRER STAFF WRITER

Peco Energy Co.’s electrical prices for commercial customers will increase between 9.4 percent and 12.6 percent on July 1, the Philadelphia utility announced Tuesday.

Peco’s commodity charge, which accounts for about two-thirds of a typical customer’s bill, will increase sharply to reflect the higher price of procuring power during the summer months, said Cathy Engel Menendez, the utility’s spokeswoman.

The increase won’t affect the 37 percent of Peco’s 60,359 small commercial customers who have switched electrical suppliers in Pennsylvania’s deregulated energy markets. Nor will the increase affect most larger commercial and industrial customers, the vast majority of which switched suppliers after Peco’s market rates went into effect this year.

Shop owners, office managers and manufacturers that had been sitting on the fence about shopping for electrical suppliers might take a second look at alternatives in the face of the impending increase.

For small commercial customers, Peco’s price to compare will increase from 9.43 cents per kilowatt hour to 10.32 cents on July 1, a 9.4 percent increase.

For medium commercial customers, whose demand is between 100 kilowatts and 500 kilowatts, the rate will increase from 9.30 cents per kWh to 10.47 cents, a 12.6 percent.

Peco had already announced that its charges will be increasing by 4.3 percent on July 1 for residential customers. Peco’s residential price-to-compare will increase from 9.99 cents to 10.42 cents. For consumption above 500 kilowatt hours, the price increases to 11.69 cents per kWh.

Peco says that the commodity prices are based on procurement contracts with suppliers, and that the utility passes the cost along to customers without markup.

The wholesale cost of power has always fluctuated seasonally, but it is only this year that Peco’s charges are adjusted quarterly to reflect the market conditions. Electricity tends to be more expensive in the summer, when demand is higher.

The adjustments don’t affect Peco’s distribution charge, which is assessed on each customer regardless of who supplies the electrical power. The distribution charge reflects Peco’s cost for maintaining the wires and customer service system, and is regulated by the Public Utility Commission.

While most alternative suppliers quote their residential rates in public through the PUC, only a few post their commercial rates, which are often quoted individually and depend upon a customer’s usage patterns.

The Energy Cooperative Association of Philadelphia is one supplier that does post its small-commercial rates, which may now be more attractive in light of Peco’s impending increase.

The Energy Coop charges 9.42 cents per kilowatt hour for small commercial customers, virtually identical to Peco’s current rate. But when Peco’s rate goes up to 10.32 cents in July, the nonprofit’s price will be 8.7 percent less than the utility’s. The cooperative also charges commercial customers a $30 membership fee.

Jossi Fritz-Mauer, co-director of the cooperative, said customers need to initiate the switch now in order to take advantage of the savings this summer.

“Businesses and residents won’t see those huge bills for their summer usage until it’s too late,” said Fritz-Mauer.

“If they wait for big bills to shock them into switching, they’ll miss out on a lot of savings,” he said.

Note:  Hutchinson Business Solutions has been providing commercial deregulation savings solutions to their clients for over 10 years. There are great opportunity for savings.

Call 856-857-1230 or email george@hbsadvantage.com to learn more about your opportunity to save.

Note: With the current deregulated market opportunities now being presented to many business that qualify, the market has been inundated with new sales personnel. I found this article provides on objective overview of questions you should ask and details you should know before making a decision.

There are many companies offering variable electric rates. I would not recommend this solution at this time.

With natural gas prices being the lowest they have been in the last 3 or 4 years, there are great opportunities to lock into a fixed price electric contract for a 1 or 2 year period.

By Carl Shaw

With the deregulation of energy in many parts of the US, competition is now allowed between energy companies to provide electricity at discounted rates directly to their customers. These Energy Service Provider Companies (ESCOs) are licensed by individual states and are required to adhere to the applicable regulatory guidelines set by the Public Service Commissions (PSC) or Public Utility Commission (PUC).  Customers (end-users) also have the opportunity to work with electricity brokers or consultants who can compare different offers and provide additional services to help manage your monthly energy spending and costs.

If you are a business spending a minimum of $3000 a month  on your electric or natural gas bill, you may qualify to choose your electric or natural gas supplier in deregulated markets, which could create savings opportunities. Companies that can control or manage their electric consumption to use more electricity in the off-peak hours will find the greatest opportunity for savings. In deregulated markets, you now have a choice and can choose lower energy rates without any risk or local service change.

Your local energy service providers buy natural gas and electricity on the open market at wholesale prices based on the current market conditions and then bill their customers at increased rates to include margins and/or service fees.

Independent Deregulated brokers can put your company in a competitive position by leveraging extensive buying power to help you develop energy supply procurement programs. They can conduct an unbiased rate and tariff analyses that may result in substantial savings to you. 

Due to the current economic conditions and the complications deregulation has caused there are many new energy advisory companies popping up, so be sure to know all the facts before making any decision.

When choosing a qualified utility tariff analysis & rate optimization firm to represent you, you should be aware of a few things:

First, be sure that the price you are quoted from your local provider includes all charges. Should you be talking to a consultant or broker, make sure the price is “fully loaded” meaning, does it include the 7% loss allowance (to deliver 100,000 kWh of electric, the providers must actually send 107,000 kWh, for there is a 7% loss in transmission)? Also does it include the local sales tax?

In PA, you must also ask if the price includes GRT (gross receipt tax) and RMR (reliabilty must run). RMR is a pass thru charge from the provider that allows them to meet peak demand periods when they must use additional resources to meet this demand. This is normally found during the summer months.

All these important components should be included in the quote from your deregulated provider to make an accurate comparison. These components are included in your price to compare from your local provider.  Often, companies will provide a low end quote without including sales tax and a load allowance. Be sure you are comparing apples to apples. Often when these figures are included, their real quote is much higher.

Does the company providing your quote have an Energy Information Management System in place, to make sure that you are getting the best available rate?

Are they shopping your account to more than 1 provider. Each provider has a sweet spot (a market they are most competitive in). An independent broker who knows the market will be able to identify these providers and work to get the best price.

Information is power. Knowing what questions to ask will save you time and money.

There are opportunities to save from 10% to 25% in the deregulated electric market depending on your usage patterns.

When making a final decision, know that you are dealing with a commodity and timing is everything. Market fluctuations may happen on a daily basis.

Best Time

February 14, 2011

When is the best time to buy energy in the deregulated market?

I have heard statements from clients saying, “Let’s wait to July or August and then we’ll look at it.”

This seems to be a common misconception. When buying a commodity, we are dealing with a fluid market.

Prices are constantly changing.

During the last 4 years, we have seen the Nymex go from a high of $13.105 in July 2008 to a low of $2.843 in September of 2009.

What is the Nymex?

The current price of natural gas out of the ground in the Gulf of Mexico to the shores of Louisiana.

When quoting fixed natural gas prices we must add the basis cost, which is the cost of transporting natural gas from the shores of Louisiana to the gate of the local provider (PSEG, SJ Gas, PGW, Peco  etc).

The Nymex is normally used as a gauge to determine where the natural gas and electric markets are at any given point of the day.

Nymex is up, means that gas and electric prices will be increasing

Conversely,

Nymex is down, means that gas and electric prices will be dropping.

This is not necessarily a proportional shift but it is a good indicator.

I went back over those 4 years and looked to see when the Nymex was at its’ highest and lowest points.

Year        Average Cost        Lowest   Month   Highest   Month

2007       $6.376 dth            $5.43      Sept        $7.558    April

2008       $8.437 dth            $6.469   Nov        $13.105   July

2009       $3.475 dth            $2.843     Sept      $6.136     Jan

2010       $3.908 dth            $3.292     Nov       $5.814     Jan

Our goal at HBS is to properly monitor the market swings and to communicate with our clients when the opportunities present the best value.

Dealing with a utility is not like dealing with other contracts in business.

You do not have to wait for the contract to expire.

There is no guarantee that the best opportunity will be available.

As of this writing the Nymex is at $3.93 and it is only mid-February.

Could the market go lower?

Yes..

But there is more of an upside risk!

Prices could easily go higher.

 

How much lower will the market go?

The floor is not determined until it passes

And then it may be too late.

When dealing with a commodity….

Timing is everything!

I often say that a client who buys deregulated utilities is like a person who shops at Syms.

“An educated consumer is our best customer.”

HBS strives to educate our clients and keep them informed,

Providing…

Smart Solutions for Smart Business

If you would like to know more about deregulated utilities and your business call 856-857-1230 or email george@hbsadvantage.com

About Deregulation

January 27, 2011

As presented on PSEG website

Before Deregulation 

Prior to New Jersey’s restructuring, PSE&G was responsible for generating electricity, transmitting the power to all regions of their service territory, distributing the power to the individual homes and businesses, and billing and service issues.  In addition, they were also responsible for all repairs to the electric lines and equipment.

After Deregulation

As a result of the New Jersey Energy Choice Program, the different responsibilities of the utilities were “unbundled” and the power industry was separated into four divisions: generation, transmission, and distribution, and energy services. The generation sector has been deregulated and, as a result, utilities are no longer the sole producers of electricity. The transmission and distribution sectors remain subject to regulation – either by the federal government or the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities.   No matter which electricity supplier you choose, PSE&G will continue to service the transmission and distribution sectors of your electricity.

Competition is allowed between companies to provide power at discounted rates and superb customer service directly to customers. These companies are licensed by the state of New Jersey.  You also have the opportunity to work with an electricity broker or consultant who can compare different offers and provide additional services to help manage your energy spending.

In most cases, PSE&G will continue to send you your utility bill.  So the only thing that changes if you shop for a better rate is that better rate.

Out Perspective

Deregulation has presented a great opportunity for savings in the business sector. If you are a company spending a minimum of $5000 a month on electric and you are not taking advantage of this opportunity, feel free to give us a call and we will present an overview. 856-857-1230

Or, if you would like to know more about deregulation opportunities for your business email george@hbsadvantage.com

HBS has been providing independent deregulated energy management solution to our business clients for over 10 years. We represent all the major deregulated energy providers selling energy in deregulated states.

Visit us on the web www.hutchinsonbusinesssolutions.com

As presented by Public Power (An overview of the deregulated electric in the residential market)

Many of those that are considering switching over are a little confused about what is actually happening.

You are not switching your gas & electric company, you are only switching service providers.

What this means,for example:

If PSEG is your current Gas & Electric Company. They will remain your Utility company. They will still service your home if you have a problem or power outage etc. You will still receive and pay your Bill thru PSEG. What you are doing is simply switching where your Gas and Electric is coming from.  In this case you will be asking PSEG to simply obtain your Gas & Electric from Public Power,LLC instead of their current provider. Currently Public Power per Kilowatt rate is cheaper than PSEG ‘s provider. You can check on your rate by looking at your BILL and looking up the kWh rate.

Then go to  https://ppandu.com/historical_rates.php to check Public Powers’s historical rates for other areas they currently service. Though rates vary from month to month, you will find they have been historically lower then PSEG, Con Ed and many other NY & NJ utility providers.

Actual electric rates for 2009 in January were 11.2 for Public Power and Utility (PP&U), Feb 2010, 9.999*, 11.051*, 11.568*. Jan 2010, 9.999*, 11.051*, 11.568*

PSEG Sept 2010 Average Residential rate is 12.00 per kWh

Currently if you are using under 600 kWh per month you are paying about 11.46 per kWh. If you never exceed that all year then your rate will stay at about 11.46.

 But as soon as you go over 600 Kwh June thru Sept,that part of your bill is jacked up to about 12.34 per kwh. So on average if you are using from 601 kWh and more during the year, the blended average rate is about 12.00 per kwh.  Understand above ONLY reflects the cost of electricity, not the PSEG delivery charges etc. The rates we are concerned with are just the BGS Energy charges, which on your bill is the “Rate to Compare” when you are considering a 3rd party supplier for your electric such as Public Power.

SEE BELOW THE PSEG RATE(TARRIF) Chart (approved June 2010) Note the highlighted rates

PUBLIC SERVICE ELECTRIC AND GAS

COMPANY           Twenty-Eighth

Revised Sheet No. 67 Superseding     

B.P.U.N.J. No. 14 ELECTRIC                                             Twenty-Seventh Revised Sheet No. 67  

BASIC GENERATION SERVICE – FIXED PRICING (BGS-FP)
ELECTRIC SUPPLY CHARGES 

APPLICABLE TO: 

Default electric supply service for Rate Schedules RS, RSP, RHS, RLM, WH, WHS, HS, BPL, BPL­POF, PSAL, GLP and LPL-Secondary (less than 1,000 kilowatts). 

BGS ENERGY CHARGES: 

Applicable to Rate Schedules RS, RHS, RLM, WH, WHS, HS, BPL, BPL-POF and PSAL           Charges per kilowatthour: 

Rate 

Schedule 

For usage in each of the 

months of 

October through May 

For usage in each of the 

months of 

June through September 

 

    Charges

 

   Charges 

Charges  Including SUT  Charges  Including SUT 
RS –first 600 kWh  11.4627 ¢  12.2651 ¢  11.4356 ¢  12.2361 ¢ 
RS – in excess of 600 kWh  11.4627 ¢  12.2651 ¢  12.3477 ¢  13.2120 ¢ 
RHS – first 600 kWh  9.8139 ¢  10.5009 ¢  10.9809 ¢  11.7496 ¢ 
RHS – in excess of 600 kWh  9.8139 ¢  10.5009 ¢  12.2005 ¢  13.0545 ¢ 
RLM On-Peak  16.1526 ¢  17.2833 ¢  15.6936 ¢  16.7922 ¢ 
RLM Off-Peak  7.4633 ¢  7.9857 ¢  7.8736 ¢  8.4248 ¢ 
WH  9.5068 ¢  10.1723 ¢  10.6903 ¢  11.4386 ¢ 
WHS  7.7482  8.2906 ¢  8.9246 ¢  9.5493 
HS  10.3708 ¢  11.0968 ¢  13.9608 ¢  14.9381 
BPL  7.3379  7.8516 ¢  7.6450 ¢  8.1802 ¢ 
BPL-POF  7.3379 ¢  7.8516 ¢  7.6450 ¢  8.1802 ¢ 
PSAL  7.3379 ¢  7.8516 ¢  7.6450 ¢  8.1802 ¢ 

 

The above Basic Generation Service Energy Charges reflect costs for Energy, Generation Capacity, Transmission, and Ancillary Services (including PJM Interconnection, L.L.C. (PJM)  Administrative Charges). The portion of these charges related to Network Integration Transmission Service, including the PJM Seams Elimination Cost Assignment Charges, the PJM Reliability Must Run Charge and PJM Transmission Enhancement Charges may be changed from time to time on the effective date of such change to the PJM rate for these charges as approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). 

Kilowatt threshold noted above is based upon the customer’s Peak Load Share of the overall summer peak load assigned to Public Service by the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Office of the Interconnection (PJM). See Section 9.1, Measurement of Electric Service, of the Standard Terms and Conditions of this Tariff. 

Note: Hutchinson Business Solutions has been providing independent deregulated energy management solutions for corporate clients for over 10 years. Although we do not currently provide these services to the residential market, we felt that it is important to make this information available to the general public, since many residential customers are now looking at this opportunity.

Date of Issue: May 20, 2010-Effective: June 1, 2010
Issued by FRANCES I. SUNDHEIM, Vice President and Corporate Rate Counsel
80 Park Plaza, Newark, New Jersey 07102
Filed pursuant to Order of Board of Public Utilities dated March 1, 2010
in Docket No. E009050351

 
Posted on Sun, Jan. 16, 2011

By Andrew Maykuth

Inquirer Staff Writer

Pearl Rosenbloom and her neighbors in South Jersey have been getting lots of sales calls lately encouraging them to switch from Public Service Electric & Gas Co. to alternative power suppliers.

The pitches are often long on enthusiasm, but short on facts.

“When you ask for details, they just say, ‘You’re going to save money!’ ” Rosenbloom said.

The Burlington County resident looks longingly across the Delaware River, where Peco Energy Co. customers are rapidly moving into a market-rate environment.

Pennsylvania residential customers have access to a wealth of comparative information on rates assembled by the Public Utility Commission or the state Office of the Consumer Advocate.

But in New Jersey, where suppliers are offering residential discounts of 12 percent and more, consumers are largely on their own when it comes to assessing the data.

“We don’t know what to do,” Rosenbloom said.

J. Gregory Reinert, the communications director of the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities, said there were too many offerings for Garden State regulators to manage the data on behalf of customers.

“We do not provide comparison data of third-party suppliers or utilities,” he said.

“Customers need to do comparison shopping by either calling or visiting the websites of each company to review the tariffs or promotions, and make their own comparisons and decisions,” Reinert said.

New Jersey’s approach stands in contrast to the model states lauded in a recent industry study of electricity deregulation. Advocates of market rates say competition helps suppress electrical costs by encouraging more efficiency and conservation.

Nat Treadway, the managing director of a Houston firm that conducts an annual assessment of restructured markets, in December singled out Pennsylvania’s system for praise.

In most deregulated states, including New Jersey and Pennsylvania, customers are free to choose the company that generates their electricity, which makes up the biggest part of their bill. Traditional utilities, such as PSE&G and Peco, are solely distributors of power and do not make money off power generation – even on the electricity they buy on behalf of customers who do not switch.

Treadway, managing partner of the Distributed Energy Financial Group, said the best markets for encouraging electrical choice were in Texas and New York.

By contrast, Treadway called New Jersey’s restructured residential market “marginal.”

Ronald M. Cerniglia, director of governmental and regulator affairs for Direct Energy Services L.L.C., a large electricity marketer operating in several states, called New Jersey’s marketplace “suboptimal.”

He said the best competitive markets set up rules that encourage alternative suppliers to do business while still providing traditional consumer protections.

Regulators in thriving markets also make efforts to educate customers. One way is to maintain websites with neutral cost comparisons.

The Pennsylvania PUC’s papowerswitch.com lists most current suppliers, and some of their offerings. The Texas and New York utility commissions operate sophisticated websites that allow consumers to search for competitive offers by zip code: powertochoose.org and newyorkpowertochoose.com.

The New Jersey BPU rolled out a website for power-shopping after it opened electricity markets to competition in 1999, part of a $13.5 million promotional effort.

But New Jersey’s rates were still rigidly structured, and residential suppliers stayed away. The BPU’s website was abandoned in 2003 and the domain name was taken over by a Spanish pornography site, according to the Newark Star-Ledger.

Only in the last year have alternative suppliers planted their flags in New Jersey’s residential markets. As of November, 98,700 customers out of New Jersey’s 3.3 million households had switched to alternative suppliers, up from a mere 213 households in 2009.

By comparison, Peco Energy Co. says 96,000 of its residential customers have switched suppliers, most in the two weeks since rate caps were lifted Jan. 1.

The BPU provides the names of suppliers on its website, but the list appears to be out of date. South Jersey Energy Co. is listed as a residential electrical supplier even though it has been “out of residential for a number of years,” according to Joanne Brigandi, a company spokeswoman.

And in some cases, it is difficult for New Jersey customers to locate even the most basic information from which they can make an informed choice.

PSE&G’s basic-generation service – the price to compare – is listed as 11.5 cents per kilowatt-hour on some alternative suppliers’ websites.

PSE&G spokeswoman Karen A. Johnson confirmed Friday that the utility’s price to compare is 11.5 cents per kilowatt-hour.

Several suppliers are offering discounts below either price. They are listed above.

Our Perspective:

Hutchinson Business Solutions has been providing deregulated energy management solutions to our business clients for over 10years. Although we currently do not serve the residential markets in deregulated states, I found it prudent to offer some insight to the many residential clients now seeking savings in the deregulated electric market.

Since NewJersey just introduced the opportunity to their residents in the spring of 2010 and Pennsylvania in January 2011, many people have jumped on the band wagon selling electric. 

We get several calls daily from 0ur clients asking questions about saving for their home electric. The first thing that I caution them is to make sure the price that is being presnted is fully loaded and contains all the factors that are included to make a cost to compare analysis. Does it include a 7% loss allowance (to deliver 100 kw of electric you must send 107 kw for there is a 7% is line loss in the delivery of the electricity)  and 7% sales tax. These factors are included in the PSEG and AC Electric price to compare.

The second thing we caution clients to look for is a fixed price. Natural gas prices are the lowest they have been in the last 3 to 4 years. Although they have spiked recently due to the winter cold, prices are still very attractive. Thirty % (30%) of the electric generated in the US is made with natural gas. Because of this, natural gas prices serve as a stong indicator used for electric market prices. By choosing a fixed price, you can lock your position for a 1 or 2 year period.

Variable pricing does not provide this opportunity and is therefore a more riskier decision at this time.

Proceed with caution and make sure to get all the facts before choosing a deregulated residential electric provider.

Read more: http://www.philly.com/inquirer/business/20110116_New_Jersey_consumers_perplexed_by_elecric-power_options.html?viewAll=y#ixzz1BFl4JZXL
Watch sports videos you won’t find anywhere else

Published: Tuesday, December 14, 2010

By Brian McCullough; Journal Register News Service

The right to choose isn’t much good if it’s not used. That’s the message of Sonny Popowsky, Pennsylvania’s Consumer Advocate, and the state Public Utility Commission, who are urging electric users in the region to make an informed decision on whether they want to continue to receive electricity generated by PECO.

“What I hope is that people decide,” Popowsky said. “My hope is that people across Pennsylvania will know they have a choice and take the time to make it.”

Effective Jan. 1, consumers in southeast Pennsylvania can choose the company that generates their electricity. The choice comes as electric rate caps imposed on PECO are ending.

The caps are coming off four utilities in Pennsylvania, with PECO having the largest number of affected customers. They are the last four electric utilities in the state that had rate caps in effect.

Throughout much of last year, there were dire predictions of electric rates skyrocketing 30, 40 or 50 percent when the rate caps expired.

Now, however, with the recession and an increase in the supply of natural gas used by power generating stations, the increases are much more modest.

PECO is saying its rates for residential customers will increase 5 percent in January while rates for large industrial businesses will go up 7 percent. Small businesses — those that use less than 500 kilowatt hours per month — will actually see a decrease in PECO rates of about 5 percent, spokeswoman Cathy Engel said.

The key number for PECO residential customers to look at when considering a change is 9.92 cents, which is PECO’s price per kilowatt hour heading into the new year.

Residents are urged to visit the website established by the PUC specifically for the switch, www.PaPowerSwitch.com, to see what new suppliers have entered their area. Residents can shop by entering their ZIP codes. Frequently asked questions on picking an electricity supplier/

In the 19067 Yardley-Morrisville ZIP code, for instance, 17 suppliers are registered to sell electricity — all but one of which come in below PECO’s default price.

Generation suppliers registered in the Yardley area, for instance, are: BlueStar Energy, Champion Energy Services, Commerce Energy Inc., Con Ed Solutions, Direct Energy, Dominion Energy Solutions, Energy Cooperative Association of Pennsylvania, Energy Plus Holdings, Gateway Energy Services Corp., North American Power, Palmco Power Pa. LLC, Public Power LLC, Respond Power LLC, Spark Energy LP, Stream Energy Pennsylvania LLC, Verde Energy USA Inc., Viridian Energy and Washington Gas Energy Services.

Three of the providers — Blue Star, Commerce and the Energy Cooperative Association of Pennsylvania — advertise renewable energy.

According to the website, a residential customer using 700 kilowatt hours of electricity a month from PECO pays $69.30 a month. The lowest price listed on the Web site Monday came from Stream Energy, with a variable rate of 7.43 cents per kilowatt hour for a monthly bill of $52.01. The highest came from Commerce Energy, the renewable energy provider, with an average listed monthly bill of $77.35.

No Blacklist

One of the obstacles consumer advocates and regulators face in getting consumers to make the switch is a fear that doing so will mean a drop in service when there are outages or other service issues, said Rob Powelson, the former head of the Chester County Chamber of Business & Industry and now a PUC commissioner.

What consumers are choosing is the company that will generate the electricity. PECO will continue to deliver it and will continue to respond to emergencies with no regard to a customer’s selected generator, he and Engel noted.

PECO also will continue to deliver the bills to all electric customers in the region. The only difference will be on the line that lists the generator.

PECO will be the default provider of electricity to consumers in their region who do not shop.

“PECO does not care where you get your energy generation from,” said Powelson, a Kennett Square-area resident, noting that the Philadelphia-based utility is required to shop on the open market itself for the lowest prices. “PECO will still come out when there’s a storm.

“I hear people say all the time they’re going to be put on a blacklist if they switch,” Powelson said. “I can’t stress this enough: Customers are not going to offend PECO by picking another generation supplier.”

Engel agreed.

“It has no impact on us what supplier they choose,” the spokeswoman said. “We are an energy delivery company.”

She does urge consumers to keep in mind a few things as they shop, however, such as whether the prices being quoted are fixed or variable, and whether there are cancellation fees.

The Numbers

According to the PaPowerSwitch.com Web site, 659,187 electric customers across Pennsylvania have switched generation suppliers in recent years.

Since the rate caps expired in the PPL territory in central Pennsylvania a year ago, 400,000 of the 1.8 million PPL customers have switched, said PUC spokeswoman Denise McCracken. At that time, consumers were looking at rate increases of 30 percent, giving them more motivation to shop, she noted.

The changeover has been much slower in PECO’s territory to date, with a little more than 2,000 residential customers, or 0.2 percent, changing providers. That figure is probably attributable to the smaller increase in prices electric customers face this year, she said.

Overall, 20,860 PECO customers, or 1.3 percent of its total base, have switched, the bulk of which are businesses that use more electricity and are more affected by higher rates.

Powelson believes the pace of switching will pick up in the first quarter of next year, when the PUC “is optimistic” that 20 percent to 25 percent of PECO customers will choose to switch.

“I’d love to see 50 percent to 100 percent,” Powelson said. “Every year you choose your health care plan, you choose your cell phone provider, you choose your cable provider.

“Now, this is another choice you have.”

Whatever provider people choose, Powelson hopes they take advantage of PECO’s Smart Ideas program, which offers incentives to consumers to make their homes more energy efficient. Powelson said he has used it himself to reduce his energy bill.

“Customers now have options to save money on energy usage,” he said.

By Andrew Maykuth

Inquirer Staff Writer

In a conference room at the Radisson Valley Forge Tuesday night, Fred Stevens addressed an audience of 150 people, explaining a new way to earn extra money – the most amazing sales opportunity he had ever encountered.

There’s no product. No inventory. No collections.

It’s . . . electric power.

“All you have to do is nothing more than show people how to save money on a bill that they’re going to pay anyway,” said Stevens, a pitchman for North American Power, a Connecticut supplier.

At the same time one floor above, Randy Hedge, an Arkansan wearing a cowboy hat, exuberantly delivered the same message to about 300 prospective salespeople for Stream Energy, a Texas supplier:

The age of deregulated power has arrived in Pennsylvania, and Peco Energy Co. customers should prepare for the onslaught.

“Timing is important,” said Hedge, a top salesman for Stream Energy, which is modeled on multilevel marketing organizations such as Mary Kay Cosmetics and Avon. “How many of you would have liked to have bought Wal-Mart stock back in the ’70s?”

With Peco’s rate caps expiring at the end of this month, 15 alternative suppliers are offering residential electrical discounts up to 10 percent off the utility’s 2011 supply rates. Even more suppliers are targeting large commercial and industrial customers.

This is no small game. Peco’s electrical supply is worth more than $3 billion a year, and the rest of Pennsylvania’s is worth $6 billion, according to the state Public Utility Commission. Even with a razor-thin margin on a kilowatt-hour of energy that sells for 9 cents, there is much money to be made.

Under Pennsylvania’s Electric Choice Act – New Jersey has a similar law – traditional utilities such as Peco no longer generate power and are solely distribution companies. Peco will still maintain the wires and send out the bills, but its customers can switch to alternative suppliers.

Customers also are free to stay with Peco, which will buy power and offer it to customers at a rate known as the “price to compare.” For residential customers, that price is 9.92 cents.

Most alternative suppliers are employing traditional mass-marketing techniques – direct mail, billboards, telemarketing.

But several are relying heavily on the human element, deploying legions of salespeople who appear to be as energized as the product they are selling.

Stream Energy, of Dallas, is deploying a sophisticated campaign whose sales force is focused as much on signing up other salespeople as it is about signing up customers.

More than 2,000 attended Stream’s kickoff rally Saturday at the Convention Center, including many out-of-state Stream “directors” who have come to Philadelphia in recent weeks to try to expand their networks here.

Stream says its salespeople can exploit “warm networks” to sign up their friends, families, and neighbors, overcoming the resistance many customers have to switching from traditional utilities.

“Direct marketing is the best manner for evangelizing the advantages of deregulation,” said Rob Snyder, Stream’s chairman.

“You can’t explain deregulation in a billboard, and nobody reads direct mail. But a direct conversation between two people who know each other well, you can explain deregulation in five minutes.”

But Stream’s marketing arm, called Ignite, has its critics. Ignite’s commission structure is designed to produce escalating payments to agents who have developed multilevel networks of salespeople who are “downline.”

The result is a skewed hierarchy, in which a few top salespeople can earn millions while most people who sign up struggle to recover their $299 entry fee. According to the company’s data, the average earnings for the entry-level salesperson – 87 percent of the sales force – are $130 a year.

Stream says it has 170,000 sales associates and 400,000 customers.

The fee structure is a red flag to Robert L. FitzPatrick, who operates a website called Pyramid Scheme Alert. He said organizations like Ignite rely on an “endless chain” of recruiting.

“If I need 20 people below me to make consistent money, then only one in 20 people can make money from such an operation,” he said.

Stream has withstood complaints that it operates a pyramid scheme, but it is facing lawsuits in the two states where it operates, Texas and Georgia.

Scott M. Clearman, a Houston class-action lawyer who has sued Stream in both states, said the company enticed associates “with false promises of enormous profits.”

Read more: http://www.philly.com/inquirer/front_page/20101205_Peco_rivals_see_power_in_number_of_peddlers.html?page=1&c=y#ixzz17FyPyOEn
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Neither federal suit has been tried, and each is hung up in appeals courts on procedural issues.

Snyder, Stream’s chairman, called Clearman’s suits a “shakedown scheme.” The company says it is forthright about the payment structure.

“We never say this is an easy business,” said Snyder, adding that he believes many associates who join the sales force find the job more difficult than they expected and quit.

Stream’s executives say they are accustomed to defending its business model. They say the company is the fifth-largest supplier in Texas, where it was founded in 2005; that its rates are competitive; and that customers are free to switch at any time if they are unhappy.

“Network marketing has gotten a bad name because, quite frankly, there are a lot of . . . networking marketing companies out there that exist just to exploit the associates,” Snyder said.

North American Power, the other company holding weekly organizational sessions at the Radisson in Valley Forge, emphasizes that it is not a multilevel marketing organization like Stream’s Ignite.

North American charges associates $49 to join, and the commission structure is weighted to induce salespeople to sign up customers, not other salespeople. Even so, only a few people get rich selling power.

Salespeople for North American are compensated 0.2 cent for every kilowatt-hour (kWh) of power consumed by their customers, which amounts to about $2 a month from each household using 1,000 kWh.

That means a salesperson must sign up many households to make a living.

“This isn’t a network-marketing opportunity,” said Kevin Marino, a North American area manager. “If you want to recruit, recruit, recruit, this isn’t the company for you. We’re all about kilowatt-hours.”

For Tracy O. Johnson, 49, of Exton, who over the years has sold cable service, corsets, clothing, and religion – she is a Jehovah’s Witness who knocks on doors – signing up customers for North American Power was a nice fit.

“I have finally found the perfect business,” Johnson said. She and her sister, Sandra, have already enrolled 30 customers, she said, mostly relatives.

Michele Mann, 48, of Pottstown, a mother of two who has worked mostly from home, paid the $49 entry fee with North American last week after attending sessions for several suppliers, including Stream Energy. She said she preferred North American’s commission structure.

Like many salespeople, she is not short on optimism.

“I think I can make a lot of money doing this,” Mann said. “Six figures in a couple of years.”
Read more: http://www.philly.com/inquirer/front_page/20101205_Peco_rivals_see_power_in_number_of_peddlers.html?page=2&c=y#ixzz17Fy7M9EJ

Our Perspective:

I do believe deregulation provides a great opportunity for savings if you are a business that pays over $3000 a month for electric. However, I am just not conviced that this opportunity exist in the residential market.

Let’s take a look at a scenario.

Say you are spending $300 a month for electric. Your supply portion is roughly 2/3 of your bill or $200. This is the only portion of the bill that is effected by deregulation. You still will get a bill from your local provider for delivering the electric to your home for $100.

If you are able to save 5% on your electric, that is $10 a month. I do not feel that 5% is even gaurenteed. I hear all sort of prices being thrown around but the bottom line is…Are these prices correct. Are they fully loaded?

In order to be apples to apples, these must contain several factors. 

 – 7% loss allowance…to deliver 100,000 kwh to a customer, the provider must send 107 ,000,  for there is loss in the transmission

– 6.24% Gross Receipt Tax

– RMR (Reliability Must Run)Factor. This can vary from 2mils to 21/2 mils per kwh

If someone is offering you a price, ask…Is this price fully loaded?

If they say Huh!

Run!!!!

If they say yes, ask them what is included and compare to what we have just stated above.

There may be some residential opportunities, but you are going to have a lot of sales people just entering the market thinking they can make a quick buck.

Proceed with caution.