Going Up

April 8, 2014

As reported in eia.gov

First the report:

  • Natural gas working inventories on March 28, 2014, were 0.82 trillion cubic feet (Tcf), 0.88Tcf (52%) below the level at the same time a year ago and 0.99Tcf(55%) below the five-year average (2009-13).  Henry Hub natural gas spot prices were volatile over the past few months, increasing from $3.95 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) on January 10 to a high of $8.15/MMBtu on February 10, before falling back to $4.61/MMBtu on February 27, and then bouncing back up to $7.98/MMBtu on March 4.  EIA expects that the Henry Hub natural gas spot price, which averaged $3.73/MMBtu in 2013, will average $4.44/MMBtu in 2014 and $4.11/MMBtu in 2015.

Bottom Line:

 

Natural gas prices are going up for foreseeable future. Reserves are down, they have to be replenished. The summer forecast is casting a shadow. Should they be looking at a warming trend with hotter temperatures during the summer months that will also prevent gas prices from dropping; since 30% of electricity is generated with natural gas.